China Pork Market Outlook 2025–2029
China remains the world’s largest pork market, accounting for over half of global consumption. changing consumer habits will define the market through 2029.
1. Executive Summary
China remains the world’s largest pork market, accounting for over half of global consumption. After three years of post-ASF herd recovery, the market entered a mild downturn in 2024–2025 as production peaked and prices softened under oversupply pressures. Policy intervention, producer consolidation, and changing consumer habits will define the market through 2029.
Key message: Expect flat-to-slightly-declining volumes, volatile prices, and stronger profitability only for efficient, integrated operators.
2. Market Snapshot (2024–2025 baseline)
3. Demand Trends (2025–2029)
Consumption plateau near 30 kg/capita; growth <0.5% annually. Urban dietary diversification toward poultry, beef, seafood, and plant-based protein. Premiumization: increased demand for branded, traceable, and convenience pork products. Foodservice recovery supports higher-value cuts but household demand remains price-sensitive.
Investor takeaway: Value growth will outpace volume growth; best opportunities lie in branding, cold chain, and processed segments.
4. Supply-Side Outlook (2025-2029)
5. Key Risks
Policy interventions (herd control, price caps). Disease resurgence (ASF, FMD). Feed cost volatility. Consumer substitution to other proteins. Trade disruptions or new tariffs
6. Conclusion
China’s pork market is transitioning from volume growth to efficiency and quality. Growth opportunities are concentrated in vertically integrated producers, premium processing, and diversified supply chains.
For lenders and buyers, counter-cyclical investment timing (2026–2027) will yield the best returns as policy-driven rebalancing restores price stability.
For pork meat suppliers or meat producers, dccchina.org provides a intensive "China Pork Market Outlook 2025–2029". it is free market report, for Investor, Bankers, Trade Buyers, and Processors, particularly for pork meat European Suppliers, etc. The List of Chinese Importers for Pork Meat is included. The report is available upon request, please CONTACT DCCChina.org
